Forget about the polls, what about the bookies…
November 2, 2008
“… if the polls give a comfortable advance to Barack Obama, the predictive markets are much more positive: the market established by the University of Iowa believes today that the Democratic candidate a 85% chance to be elected. Intrade, one of the most important predictor of market, it also provides a considerable advance, and continues … More Forget about the polls, what about the bookies…